Dylan Motin challenges the assertion that North Korea is on the brink of war, dissecting logical inconsistencies and missing pieces in Robert Carlin and Siegfried Hecker's argument in their recent article. Highlighting historical context, Motin questions the sudden abandonment of three decades of diplomatic efforts and the strategic sense of initiating conflict against the U.S.-ROK alliance. As he aptly notes, "it may be too early to affirm that Kim Jong-un has chosen war" and encourages a nuanced understanding of North Korea's strategic calculus, challenging conventional wisdom on the potential for conflict.
Motin, Dylan. "Is North Korea Preparing to Start A War?" The National Interest (2023).