Gabriela Bernal explores how a hypothetical peace deal on Ukraine, brokered or influenced by former US president Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, might indirectly benefit North Korea. The central argument is that if Washington’s priorities shift toward concluding the Ukraine conflict—especially under Trump’s potential renewed leadership—there would be a notable recalibration of US foreign policy.
With a resolution in Ukraine taking center stage, the US could become more inwardly focused or more conciliatory in international disputes, thereby reducing the pressure it currently applies to regimes such as Pyongyang’s. North Korea might find itself in a less confrontational environment if the US, post-settlement, is less eager to engage in simultaneous global standoffs or sanctions. Additionally, a Russo-American détente could lift some of the isolation encircling Moscow, allowing Russia to act more openly in its relationships with North Korea—potentially providing Pyongyang with economic or diplomatic openings.
In essence, the article suggests that an end to the Ukraine war brokered by Trump and Putin might recalibrate global power dynamics and reduce the American-led containment of North Korea, thus giving Pyongyang slightly more strategic breathing room.
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